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These statements came amid escalating tensions Syriawith a sequel Israeli strikes And tense relations between regional and international powers.
Political researcher Tariq Al-Shami considered this development in light Field conditionsAnd turn around Iran In strengthening stability Syrian regime.
Iran: Conditional support and escalation warnings
Al-Shami spoke about Araqchi’s remarks, noting that Iran is trying to balance supporting its ally Damascus and avoiding escalation with international powers like Israel and the United States.
He explained that Iran currently relies on indirect support through its militias, but may resort to direct military intervention in the event of serious threats to Damascus.
Washington’s position: review of positions and escalation of pressure
Al-Shami discussed the position of the United States, noting that statements by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken hold Iran and Russia responsible for obstructing a political solution in Syria.
He added that Washington continues to support the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), considering that this support maintains the balance of power against the influence of Iran and Russia.
Israeli strikes…a repeated message to Tehran
The episode discussed the impact of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian sites in Syria.
Al-Shami emphasized that these attacks reflect Israel’s strategy to prevent Iran from strengthening its military presence, noting that Israel relies on direct US support in this context.
Hai’at Tahrir al-Sham: Repositioning or Changing Approach?
Al-Shami discussed discussions about Hai’at Tahrir al-Sham, which is designated as a terrorist group.
He indicated that Washington may reconsider its position on the Commission, in light of its focus on overthrowing the Syrian regime without jeopardizing American or Israeli interests.
Future scenarios: political solutions or new escalation?
The discussion ended with an analysis of possible scenarios, where Al-Shami believed that continued escalation would further complicate the situation in Syria. He emphasized that political solutions require consensus among major powers, with a focus on reducing Iranian influence in order to ensure long-term stability in the region.
Amidst the complexity of the Syrian scene and the escalation of regional tensions, the question remains:
Will Iran resort to direct military intervention or will international efforts succeed in achieving a sustainable peace?