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Escalation in Aleppo… reshuffle of maps
Researcher Taha Odeh Odehoglu discussed the… Istanbul Recent developments in Aleppoexplaining that Turkey is trying to take advantage Armed organizations supported by her to extend her influence in Northern Syria.
He pointed that out Ankara It is retooling its military strategy to undermine the Kurdish threat, while trying to take advantage of regional conditions to achieve normalization with Syrian regimeDespite the challenges it faces Damascus and Tehran.
Iran… between Israeli pressure and military presence
Imad Abshinas spoke about Iran’s position, noting that Tehran faces many challenges due to continued Israeli targeting of its military bases in Syria.
He explained that Iran relies on a long-term strategy in dealing with these challenges, with continued support to its allies on the ground, such as Hezbollah and Iraqi factions, to enhance its regional presence.
Russia’s role: the key to understanding or a retreating party?
The episode discussed Russia’s role in the Syrian crisis, and Abshinas pointed out that Moscow was forced to reconsider its intervention in Syria with the escalation of the war in Ukraine.
He emphasized that Russia is still considered a major party in any future political understanding, with its role in sponsoring the Astana process in cooperation with Iran and Turkey.
The United States and the Kurds… an enduring alliance
Davutoğlu discussed the position of the United States supporting the Syrian Democratic Forces, which is causing concern for Turkey. He explained that Washington is seeking to maintain its military presence in northeastern Syria in order to achieve a regional balance that prevents either side from total dominance.
Turkish-Iranian rivalry… escalation on the ground
The guests discussed the rivalry between Turkey and Iran in Syria, and Abshinas noted that Ankara is trying to fill the vacuum in the northern regions, while Tehran accuses it of trying to undermine Iran’s influence.
Davutoglu stressed that the tension between the two countries reflects a broader conflict between competing regional axes.
Future scenarios: calm or escalation?
The guests concluded the conversation with an analysis of future scenarios for the Syrian crisis. Absinas believed that regional understanding could be key to the region’s stability, while Ihsanoglu pointed out that continued military escalation could lead to a worsening of the humanitarian and political crisis.
In light of escalating regional and international tensions in Syria, the country’s future remains dependent on the balance of power on the ground and the ability of stakeholders to reach comprehensive diplomatic solutions.
Will international efforts succeed in achieving stability or will escalation continue to dominate the situation?