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The Syrian Observatory reported that armed organizations had entered the towns of Rastan and Talbiseh in the northern part of Homs in the past few hours, amid the complete absence of Syrian forces, which it said had bombed a bridge in Rastan at night in an attempt to repel the factions’ advance into the city of Homs.
This escalation of the field indicates that The Battle of Homs Perhaps it is one of the biggest stations in the Syrian conflict, because the city is gaining special importance on a military and political level.
The entry of armed organizations into Rastan and their threat to the city of Homs indicates a new phase of military escalation that may have major repercussions on the course of events in Syria.
Commenting on the development of the situation in Syria, an expert on national security issues, Major General Muhammad Abdel Wahed, said: “Military operations in Syria are very dangerous and complex operations in which regional and international interests are intertwined.
The aim of the Syrian conflict
Abdul Wahed said: “The conflict in Syria aims to reduce… Iranian influence The separation between Syria and Iran is to Israel’s advantage, as is the reduction of unwanted Russian presence by the United States, as for China, the goal is to stop China’s investment and infrastructure ambitions in the Middle East.
Evolution in the form of faction fighting
Abdel Wahed pointed out that “military operations have attracted the attention of the world due to the presence of opposition groups fighting in the form of national armies, and in a strange way than before.” The opposition gave up jihadist fighting and fought like regular armies, carrying out rapid qualitative operations and using the element of surprise and causing shock to the other side under the influence of the Western school of operations.” “Military”.
He added: “It is clear that he was trained in the hands of Western experts.” Even in the face of the marches, there are fingerprints that confirm that Ukraine helped”.
He continued: “The opposition has begun to wear a civilian cloak, and Al-Julani speaks softly as if he were a statesman.” It is difficult to know the true intentions. Al-Julani “A pragmatist, perhaps on his own initiative, and perhaps at the persuasion of regional supporters.”
Rejected equation
Abdul Wahed continued: “The opposition could not cross the red lines.” Supporters do not want to replace Bashar al-Assad with Abu Muhammad al-Julani. Those who support al-Julani reject this equation. They reject the existence of a Syrian state. whose authority is al-Julani”.
He added: “Al-Julani achieved success through foreign military equipment and marches that were the reason for the advance and intelligence, so it was very easy to destroy him.” Al-Julani has not allowed and will not allow the existence of a jihadist government in Syria, Israel itself will not accept the presence of a jihadist government and has expressed concern about it.
He continued: “Opposition supporters want to weaken Syria and maybe change the regime or impose conditions, such as the Syrian president keeping some strategic cities, like Damascus and the coastal cities, and leaving the issue of the north open for negotiations.”
What about Assad’s allies?
Abdul Wahid said: “There are question marks about Iran’s position, which today talks about diplomacy and politics to calm the situation, not about military solutions?” Iran Which was fired at Israel with great precision.
He added: “Iran has struck Israel twice with drones and ballistic missiles.” Where are the Hezbollah rockets and drones that reached Benjamin Netanyahu’s bedroom? There is a clear decline. Maybe the balance of power has changed because of the war in Gaza and Lebanon.”
He continued: “Where is the Russian role that was strongly present in 2015 and could have protected the regime?Lion from collapse”.
He concluded by saying, “After the battle of Homs, the final picture will be determined, and we will discover a lot about the main supporters in this battle.”