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In this report, we consider the potential effects of this event on the countries of the region, the scale of international interventions and the required Arab role, based on expert insights and analysis.
Impacts on countries in the region
It opens The fall of the regime There is room for the countries of the region to reposition themselves SyriaHakam Amhaz, an expert on regional and international affairs, believes that “the regime was more like an Iranian axis within the region, and its fall means the end of the era of direct Iranian influence in the region.” Damascus“.
He adds: “The vacuum that the Iranian regime will leave in Syria will force countries like Turkey to compete for influence.”
As for the expert on extremist groups, Maher Fargali, he warns of “the possibility that extremist groups, such as… ISIS andAl-Nusra This is the moment for repositioning, which threatens the stability of neighboring countries such as Iraq andLebanon“.
As the situation stabilizes, attention will turn to… Return of refugees andReconstruction of SyriaWriter and political researcher Hossam Taleb points out that “the biggest burden will be on the neighboring countries that hosted the refugees.” They must play a role in facilitating their return.
It can be taken USA A new approach with the next administration, according to Syrian National Coalition member Hisham Marwa, who said: “America “It will reassess its military presence east of the Euphrates and rely more on diplomatic means to support the new Syria.”
On the other hand, the head of the Center for Strategic Studies, professor of international relations, Firas Al-Naib, believes that “Russia It may seek to maintain its foothold in the Syrian coast“That makes the conflict over Russian-American influence an essential part of the next phase.”
According to former advisor to Turkish Prime Minister Cahit Toz, “The fall of the regime means the decline of Iranian influence in Syria, which presents an opportunity for Turkey to expand its role in northern Syria.”
As for the director of the Sakr Center for Strategic Studies, Muhannad Azavi, he claims that “the European Union can be more active by providing financial support for reconstruction, but this will require achieving political stability and removing extremists from the scene.”
Arabic role required
The MP emphasizes that “the role of the Arabs must focus on unifying the Syrian opposition and providing a road map for a political solution”, adding that “any internal division can pave the way for foreign powers to increase their influence”.
In the same context, the former spokeswoman of the Syrian opposition, Farah al-Atasi, confirmed that “the lifting of sanctions and the provision of Arab financial support for the reconstruction of infrastructure will be the most important step to alleviate the suffering of the Syrian people.”
As for Azzawi, he warned against “plans to divide Syria into international or sectarian spheres of influence,” stressing that “Arab countries must exert pressure to preserve the unity of Syrian territories.”
